California Child Poverty to Rise in 2010

by Greg Plotkin · 2010-01-14 10:38:00 UTC

A new Duke University study released by the Lucile Packard Foundation for Children's Health projects that 2.7 million children, or 27% of California's young population, could live in poverty during 2010.

Following poverty trends in the state from 1995 to 2006 and taking into account the toll the recent recession has taken on California families, Duke researchers predict that childhood poverty rates will peak in the next year and then slowly start to recede by 2012 (but remaining higher than they were pre-recession).

The study used the federal poverty line -- $22,000 in earnings per year for a family of four -- to determine how many children will live in impoverished households. Officials, however, have estimated that families in California must earn at least twice that amount to cover basic living expenses. So while a quarter of the state's children may officially live in poverty, many more are sure to suffer.

The news is worse in Los Angeles County, where researchers believe that 35% of children will live in impoverished households in 2010. This prediction is especially troubling as the recession continues to force more middle-class Americans to seek financial assistance for the first time, further straining the already fragile social safety net programs that many children and their families rely on for survival.

They say that sometimes things must get worse before they can get better, and a lot of the time I think that's true. In this case, I just hope they get better very, very soon.

Photo credit: daveparker

Greg Plotkin currently works for Flying Pigs Farm in Shushan, NY. He is dedicated to eliminating inequalities in who has access to healthy food and alleviating hunger.
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