New Poverty Data Expected to Show Record Increase

by Josie Raymond · 2010-09-14 07:46:00 UTC

T-minus two days until the Census Bureau releases new poverty statistics. It's as exciting as a movie premiere and just as dramatic. Will the stats damn Obama and the Democrats come midterm election time? Or will they register barely a blip on the average person's radar, something of a statistical Pauly Shore?

We've have all the coverage here on Thursday and Friday. Since we can't wait, though, how about a peek at the estimates?

The data on who was poor in 2009 — two years into the recession-that-will-never-end — is expected to show a record increase, from 13.2 percent to 15 percent of the population. That would be the highest single-year jump since the government started keeping track in 1959. If the 15 percent mark is correct, then 45 million people will be categorized as poor. (Millions more will not be categorized as poor, even though they should be, because the country's poverty threshold is laughably low.)

Here's what else experts are expecting:

  • A jump in the child poverty rate from 19 percent to over 20 percent.
  • A jump, to 12.4 percent, in the poverty level among the working-age population — the highest since President Lyndon Johnson launched the War on Poverty.
  • Disproportionate jumps among African-Americans and Latinos, since they have higher unemployment rates.
  • Populations hard hit in Modesto, California; Detroit; Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Florida; Los Angeles and Las Vegas.

No one will be surprised. We know, after all, that about one in six Americans currently receives some form of government assistance to get by. But that doesn't mean we can't be angry, and sad, and scared.

Photo credit: ePublicist

Josie Raymond has reported from the streets of the South Bronx, written for several magazines that folded (not her fault) and fixed thousands of typos.
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