Obama Walks Tightrope on Climate Negotiations

Obama's in a tough spot. Well, many tough spots, but let's just talk about the one that concerns us here: the Copenhagen climate negotiations. Now that Congress won't vote on a climate bill until next year, Obama has to somehow punt settlement of a long-term international agreement a ways down the road while still portraying an impression of progress and US commitment on the issue to the global audience.

According to the Washington Post, former vice president Al Gore said in an interview that Obama has the difficult task of satisfying both US and global audiences. "The disappointment in the world community that would accompany a failure of Copenhagen, if it were laid at the doorstep of the United States, would be significant," Gore told the Post. "I'm optimistic that they will handle Copenhagen well. What's important is that what emerges from Copenhagen is perceived as an important step forward."

This "important step forward" will come in the form of an interim agreement that will set up a basis on which to build a final, long-term settlement at a later date. In doing so, Obama must walk a very fine line, taking bold enough action to forestall the outrage of the global community and the US climate activist community, on the one hand, and avoiding the dreaded "over-promise" that Senators warn him against, on the other. The mark he needs to hit, US Special Envoy on Climate Change Todd Stern told the Post, is an arrangement that can be widely "seen as substantive building blocks to a full, legal agreement."

Mr. Obama, have you seen "Man on Wire," the film that illustrates Philippe Petit's 1974 walk between the twin towers on a tightrope? You might want to give it a screening before December so you can see what you're in for.

Photo courtesy of _gee_ via flickr