Somalia - Two Steps Forward, Two Back

First, the good news. On Sunday, the Somali Transitional Federal Government (TFG) and the insurgent / opposition group Alliance for the Reliberation of Somalia signed an agreement in Djibouti, calling for a "cessation of armed confrontation". (The text of the agreement is here.)
Under the agreement, both parties agreed to an immediate ceasefire, as well as the formation of a joint police force for Mogadishu. The agreement also stipulates that Ethiopian troops supporting the TFG will begin withdrawing from parts of Mogadishu and Beletwyene by November 21st.
However, it's still a little early to break out the champagne. First, the Shabaab - perhaps the most extreme of all Somali insurgent groups - have already denounced the agreement. Second, as Jeffrey Gettleman explained in a New York Times article on Sunday:
"Another problem is that the insurgent group that did sign the agreement is riddled with internal divisions and therefore may no longer have the street credibility to get its fighters to lay down their arms."
Meanwhile, there's no good news on the humanitarian front. An aid worker was killed in Somalia on Saturday, bringing the total number of aid workers killed so far this year to thirty.
For a harrowing account by a Somali woman of what it was like to flee Mogadishu, please see this recent IRIN article I have to continue for the children's sake.
[Photo from www.emergency.com]







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