Sudan Is Number One*

by Michael Bear · 2009-07-13 15:32:00 UTC

Granted, it's number one on the World Bank list of countries likely to suffer food deficits as a result of climate change.  Win some, lose some.

The most recent World Bank report on climate change - Convenient Solutions to an Inconvenient Truth - lists the countries most at risk for a range of climate change-related threats, including drought (Malawi), flooding (Bangladesh), increased storms (Philippines), rising sea levels (all low-lying island states), and greater agricultural uncertainty (Sudan).

As a recent IRIN article explained:

"Most of Sudan, Africa's largest country, is arid land or desert, and most at risk of food deficits resulting from the impact of climate change on agriculture. It lies in the Sahel, a region described as the most vulnerable in the world to droughts by the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC), an international scientific body."

Africa as a whole is particularly at risk.  According to the World Bank report:

- By 2020, between 75 and 250 million of people are projected to be exposed to increased water stress due to climate change.

- By 2020, in some countries, yields from rain‐fed agriculture could be reduced by up to 50 per cent.

- Towards the end of the century, projected sea level rise will affect low‐lying coastal areas with large populations. The cost of adaptation could amount to at least 5 to 10 per cent of GDP.

- By 2080, arid and semi‐arid land is projected to increase by 5 to 8 per cent.

The full list of countries most at risk from climate change is below:

Six Climate Threats, and the 12 Countries Most at Risk
Low Income Middle Income
Drought Flood Storm Coastal 1m Agriculture
Malawi Bangladesh Philippines All low-lying Island states Sudan
Ethiopia China Bangladesh Vietnam Senegal
Zimbabwe India Madagascar Egypt Zimbabwe
India Cambodia Vietnam Tunisia Mali
Mozambique Mozambique Moldova Indonesia Zambia
Niger Laos Mongolia Mauritania Morocco
Mauritania Pakistan Haiti China Niger
Eritrea Sri Lanka Samoa Mexico India
Sudan Thailand Tonga Myanmar Malawi
Chad Vietnam China Bangladesh Algeria
Kenya Benin Honduras Senegal Ethiopia
Iran Rwanda Fiji Libya Pakistan
Source: World Bank

[Photo of Darfur from Norwegian Refugee Council]

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